Next Gen wireless to undermine NBN

Media Release – Malcolm Turnbull

Corporate advisor Greenhill Caliburn has admitted “mobile centric” broadband networks such as next-generation wireless could seriously undermine the economic viability of the Gillard Government’s $50 billion National Broadband Network.

While the Greenhill Caliburn report provides grudging support for the assumptions underlying the NBN Co business plan, the Government’s advisor concedes it has “not conducted an in-depth analysis of NBN Co’s future funding requirements” and its report “does not purport to evaluate the Government’s NBN policy objectives, nor does it undertake a returns or cost-benefit analysis of the implementation of the NBN”.

Given Greenhill Caliburn did not provide answers in any of these critical areas Senator Conroy must immediately reveal how much this latest report has cost taxpayers. Does it represent millions of dollars wasted, like the $25 million McKinsey KPMG Implementation Study whose recommendations were almost entirely ignored by the Government and NBN Co?

Senator Conroy must also explain why, yet again, he has chosen to keep secret the full report – just as he chose to keep secret 240 pages of the 400 page NBN Co corporate plan. Ironically, one of Greenhill Caliburn’s most important recommendations is that the NBN Co be more closely monitored by the Commonwealth.

As all Australian taxpayers are direct financial contributors to this project, they too should be fully informed about the commercial operations of the NBN Co and risks to their investment.

On wireless, Greenhill Caliburn says: “Trends towards ‘mobile centric’ broadband networks could also have some significant implications for NBN Co’s fibre offerings to the extent that some consumers may be willing to sacrifice higher speed fibre transmissions for the convenience of mobile platforms”.

This report, like the other multi-million dollar consultants’ reports the Government has commissioned, fails to address the single most important issue:- what is the most cost-effective way to ensure that all Australians have access to high speed and affordable broadband?

It beggars belief that any responsible government would embark on such massive expenditure without answering that question. And as a result we are presented with absurd wastefulness such as overbuilding the HFC network which already passes 30% of Australian homes and prohibiting it from competing with the NBN notwithstanding it can deliver 100 mbps right now.

Senator Conroy, like a latter day Basil Fawlty, hires one consultant after another instructing them “don’t mention the cost-benefit analysis”, and everyone, just like the dinner guests at Fawlty Towers, does just that highlighting very plainly that they were told NOT to perform such an analysis and in so doing confirming how negligent it is not to ask and answer the fundamental question about the NBN.

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  • JC

    If Labor couldn’t manage to give away pink batts properly, how can we trust them to deliver on a $43b broadband project?

  • Scott

    Isn’t Obama adopting wireless to push it’s version of our NBN? 4G is now available in Australia and is roughly four times faster than 3G. No cables. No fibre. Just wireless and can be swapped out at any time. Also beats the ‘last mile’ problem – where most of your costs come from the last mile of wire.

    • http://twitter.com/AustImages Australian Images

      No Scott, Obama and the USA are not going wireless to replace their fixed networks. In fact, they have a target to provide fixed networks with 100Mbps actual download speeds to 100 million premises, and 1Gbps to every town within 10 years. They are also promising to enable 4G wireless networks that will cover 98% of their population (Their current 3G networks only cover 75% of their pop). I Australia, we already have a 3.5G network that covers 99% of our population (Telstra NextG), and it will be upgraded to 4G over the next 5 or 6 years.

      There is not a single country in the World that is proposing that wireless networks can replace their old fixed networks in urban areas, let alone replace next-generation fibre-based networks that are now being installed in over 100 countries around the World.

      The problem with any wireless system is that it’s shared, so those fast quoted speeds are divided amongst all the users of that tower. eg: If you have 100 users connected to a 300Mbps 4G tower, each user only gets 3Mbps of speed. FYI, there is an average of 3000 people per 3G tower in Australia at present. The other major issue is the lack of radio spectrum. More users and/or more speed = more spectrum required, and there isn’t enough in existence.

  • Scott

    JC – agreed. Although I think it may run into around 60 or 70 billion by the time it eventually gets delivered… Watch this space.

  • http://twitter.com/DaKwozzie Rex Morrow

    The NBN is another exmaple of Labor wastage or does it reflect the laziness/apathy of Australians in general? Why try and re-invent a netowrk, destroy another, and cost taxpayers billions. That’s not common sense but I guess Labor lackies don’t have much of that